| The carbon footprint of global tourism |
128 |
| Future climate risk from compound events |
128 |
| Marine heatwaves threaten global biodiversity and the provision of ecosystem services |
113 |
| Climate change and interconnected risks to sustainable development in the Mediterranean |
111 |
| Scenarios towards limiting global mean temperature increase below 1.5 degrees C |
102 |
| Global-scale hydrological response to future glacier mass loss |
102 |
| Increasing precipitation volatility in twenty-first-century California |
97 |
| Contributions of GRACE to understanding climate change |
73 |
| Arctic warming hotspot in the northern Barents Sea linked to declining sea-ice import |
72 |
| Building adaptive capacity to climate change in tropical coastal communities |
71 |
| Country-level social cost of carbon |
70 |
| Integrating human behaviour dynamics into flood disaster risk assessment |
66 |
| Taking climate model evaluation to the next level |
66 |
| Alternative pathways to the 1.5 degrees C target reduce the need for negative emission technologies |
63 |
| Anthropogenic warming exacerbates European soil moisture droughts |
62 |
| Biological responses to the press and pulse of climate trends and extreme events |
60 |
| A global synthesis of animal phenological responses to climate change |
58 |
| Ecological grief as a mental health response to climate change-related loss |
58 |
| Broad threat to humanity from cumulative climate hazards intensified by greenhouse gas emissions |
55 |
| Increased human and economic losses from river flooding with anthropogenic warming |
55 |
| Strategies to reduce the global carbon footprint of plastics |
53 |
| Making carbon pricing work for citizens |
50 |
| Widespread loss of lake ice around the Northern Hemisphere in a warming world |
49 |
| Residual fossil CO2 emissions in 1.5-2 degrees C pathways |
47 |
| Robustness and uncertainties in global multivariate wind-wave climate projections |
47 |
| Risk of increased food insecurity under stringent global climate change mitigation policy |
46 |
| Krill (Euphausia superba) distribution contracts southward during rapid regional warming |
46 |
| Meta-analyses of factors motivating climate change adaptation behaviour |
45 |
| Extinction risk from climate change is reduced by microclimatic buffering |
45 |
| A marine heatwave drives massive losses from the world's largest seagrass carbon stocks |
44 |
| Re-examining tropical expansion |
44 |
| Strengthening tropical Pacific zonal sea surface temperature gradient consistent with rising greenhouse gases |
44 |
| Hydrologic implications of vegetation response to elevated CO2 in climate projections |
43 |
| Ecological memory modifies the cumulative impact of recurrent climate extremes |
42 |
| A reconciled estimate of the influence of Arctic sea-ice loss on recent Eurasian cooling |
42 |
| Drivers of declining CO2 emissions in 18 developed economies |
41 |
| Antarctica's ecological isolation will be broken by storm-driven dispersal and warming |
40 |
| Projected increases and shifts in rain-on-snow flood risk over western North America |
39 |
| Minimal influence of reduced Arctic sea ice on coincident cold winters in mid-latitudes |
38 |
| The evidence for motivated reasoning in climate change preference formation |
38 |
| Biomass-based negative emissions difficult to reconcile with planetary boundaries |
37 |
| Higher temperatures increase suicide rates in the United States and Mexico |
37 |
| Impact of anthropogenic CO2 emissions on global human nutrition |
37 |
| Partitioning global land evapotranspiration using CMIP5 models constrained by observations |
36 |
| Macroeconomic impact of stranded fossil fuel assets |
35 |
| Radiative forcing by light-absorbing particles in snow |
35 |
| The role of supply-chain initiatives in reducing deforestation |
35 |
| Global patterns and dynamics of climate-groundwater interactions |
35 |
| Under-estimated wave contribution to coastal sea-level rise |
35 |
| Global controls on carbon storage in mangrove soils |
34 |
| Diurnal interaction between urban expansion, climate change and adaptation in US cities |
34 |
| Polar amplification dominated by local forcing and feedbacks |
34 |
| The ability of societies to adapt to twenty-firstcentury sea-level rise |
34 |
| Global habitat loss and extinction risk of terrestrial vertebrates under future land-use-change scenarios |
34 |
| Relationships among conspiratorial beliefs, conservatism and climate scepticism across nations |
33 |
| Nitrogen and phosphorus constrain the CO2 fertilization of global plant biomass |
32 |
| Global carbon stocks and potential emissions due to mangrove deforestation from 2000 to 2012 |
32 |
| The Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets under 1.5 degrees C global warming |
32 |
| Detection of continental-scale intensification of hourly rainfall extremes |
32 |
| Climate warming leads to divergent succession of grassland microbial communities |
32 |
| Progressing emergent constraints on future climate change |
32 |
| The threat of political bargaining to climate mitigation in Brazil |
31 |
| Methane production as key to the greenhouse gas budget of thawing permafrost |
31 |
| Large loss of CO2 in winter observed across the northern permafrost region |
30 |
| A reversal in global terrestrial stilling and its implications for wind energy production |
30 |
| Increasing importance of precipitation variability on global livestock grazing lands |
30 |
| Climatic and socioeconomic controls of future coastal flood risk in Europe |
30 |
| Latitudinal limits to the predicted increase of the peatland carbon sink with warming |
30 |
| Antibiotic resistance increases with local temperature |
29 |
| Climate change threatens the world's marine protected areas |
29 |
| Global trends in carbon sinks and their relationships with CO2 and temperature |
28 |
| Constraining glacier elevation and mass changes in South America |
28 |
| Keeping global warming within 1.5 degrees C constrains emergence of aridification |
28 |
| Microbial temperature sensitivity and biomass change explain soil carbon loss with warming |
28 |
| Fuel use and greenhouse gas emissions of world fisheries |
27 |
| Contribution of the land sector to a 1.5 degrees C world |
27 |
| Climate change challenges for central banks and financial regulators |
26 |
| Forest-rainfall cascades buffer against drought across the Amazon |
26 |
| Air quality co-benefits of carbon pricing in China |
26 |
| The far reach of ice-shelf thinning in Antarctica |
25 |
| Potential for low-cost carbon dioxide removal through tropical reforestation |
25 |
| Amazonian rainforest tree mortality driven by climate and functional traits |
25 |
| Snow-atmosphere coupling in the Northern Hemisphere |
25 |
| Coastal climate change, soil salinity and human migration in Bangladesh |
25 |
| Sampling bias in climate-conflict research |
25 |
| Early sowing systems can boost Australian wheat yields despite recent climate change |
25 |
| The case for systems thinking about climate change and mental health |
25 |
| Cumulative carbon emissions budgets consistent with 1.5 degrees C global warming |
24 |
| Increased snowfall over the Antarctic Ice Sheet mitigated twentieth-century sea-level rise |
24 |
| Acceleration of global N2O emissions seen from two decades of atmospheric inversion |
24 |
| Prediction of unprecedented biological shifts in the global ocean |
24 |
| Contrasting responses of autumn-leaf senescence to daytime and night-time warming |
24 |
| Carbon-focused conservation may fail to protect the most biodiverse tropical forests |
23 |
| Cross-equatorial winds control El Nino diversity and change |
23 |
| Climate-driven thresholds in reactive mineral retention of soil carbon at the global scale |
23 |
| A research roadmap for quantifying non-state and subnational climate mitigation action |
22 |
| Madden-Julian oscillation changes under anthropogenic warming |
22 |
| Ecological complexity buffers the impacts of future climate on marine consumers |
22 |
| Halving warming with idealized solar geoengineering moderates key climate hazards |
22 |
| A pathway design framework for national low greenhouse gas emission development strategies |
21 |
| Sequencing to ratchet up climate policy stringency |
21 |
| Synergy between nutrients and warming enhances methane ebullition from experimental lakes |
21 |
| Natural variability of Southern Ocean convection as a driver of observed climate trends |
21 |
| Temperature patterns and mechanisms influencing coral bleaching during the 2016 El Nino |
21 |
| Antarctic surface hydrology and impacts on ice-sheet mass balance |
21 |
| Limiting fossil fuel production as the next big step in climate policy |
21 |
| Persistent acceleration in global sea-level rise since the 1960s |
21 |
| Prospects for powering past coal |
20 |
| Summer weather becomes more persistent in a 2 degrees C world |
20 |
| Recent poleward shift of tropical cyclone formation linked to Hadley cell expansion |
20 |
| Ocean community warming responses explained by thermal affinities and temperature gradients |
20 |
| A projected decrease in lightning under climate change |
20 |
| Record-breaking climate extremes in Africa under stabilized 1.5 degrees C and 2 degrees C global warming scenarios |
20 |
| From Pinot to Xinomavro in the world's future wine-growing regions |
20 |
| Reconciling opposing Walker circulation trends in observations and model projections |
20 |
| Diverging seasonal extremes for ocean acidification during the twenty-first century |
20 |
| Global economic response to river floods |
19 |
| Sea-level driven land conversion and the formation of ghost forests |
19 |
| The need for bottom-up assessments of climate risks and adaptation in climate-sensitive regions |
19 |
| The epigenetic landscape of transgenerational acclimation to ocean warming |
19 |
| Mitigation potential of soil carbon management overestimated by neglecting N2O emissions |
19 |
| Intact and managed peatland soils as a source and sink of GHGs from 1850 to 2100 |
19 |
| Near-future CO2 levels impair the olfactory system of a marine fish |
18 |
| Linking models of human behaviour and climate alters projected climate change |
18 |
| Shifting habitats expose fishing communities to risk under climate change |
18 |
| Unchanged frequency of moraine-dammed glacial lake outburst floods in the Himalaya |
18 |
| Strengthening seasonal marine CO2 variations due to increasing atmospheric CO2 |
18 |
| Elevated increases in human-perceived temperature under climate warming |
17 |
| Greenhouse gas emissions from diverse Arctic Alaskan lakes are dominated by young carbon |
17 |
| Greening of the land surface in the world's cold regions consistent with recent warming |
17 |
| Global predation pressure redistribution under future climate change |
17 |
| Quantified, localized health benefits of accelerated carbon dioxide emissions reductions |
17 |
| Emergence of anthropogenic signals in the ocean carbon cycle |
17 |
| Achievement of Paris climate goals unlikely due to time lags in the land system |
16 |
| Climate-driven range shifts of the king penguin in a fragmented ecosystem |
16 |
| Ice-free Arctic projections under the Paris Agreement |
16 |
| Reduced probability of ice-free summers for 1.5 degrees C compared to 2 degrees C warming |
16 |
| Higher CO2 concentrations increase extreme event risk in a 1.5 degrees C world |
16 |
| Tracking global climate change adaptation among governments |
15 |
| Snow in the changing sea-ice systems |
15 |
| Snow cover is a neglected driver of Arctic biodiversity loss |
15 |
| Increasing impacts of extreme droughts on vegetation productivity under climate change |
15 |
| Evidence-based strategies to combat scientific misinformation |
15 |
| Global phenological insensitivity to shifting ocean temperatures among seabirds |
14 |
| The Paris Agreement zero-emissions goal is not always consistent with the 1.5 degrees C and 2 degrees C temperature targets |
14 |
| Consumers underestimate the emissions associated with food but are aided by labels |
14 |
| Achieving a climate justice pathway to 1.5 degrees C |
14 |
| Children can foster climate change concern among their parents |
14 |
| Rapid change in East Antarctic terrestrial vegetation in response to regional drying |
14 |
| Reconciling global-model estimates and country reporting of anthropogenic forest CO2 sinks |
14 |
| Long-distance migratory birds threatened by multiple independent risks from global change |
14 |
| Public acceptance of resource-efficiency strategies to mitigate climate change |
14 |
| Amazonian tree species threatened by deforestation and climate change |
13 |
| Learning about urban climate solutions from case studies |
13 |
| Rapid growth in greenhouse gas emissions from the adoption of industrial-scale aquaculture |
13 |
| Model tropical Atlantic biases underpin diminished Pacific decadal variability |
13 |
| Anthropogenic range contractions bias species climate change forecasts |
13 |
| Historical deforestation locally increased the intensity of hot days in northern mid-latitudes |
13 |
| Widespread increase of boreal summer dry season length over the Congo rainforest |
12 |
| The changing value of the 'green' label on the US municipal bond market |
12 |
| The private sector's climate change risk and adaptation blind spots |
12 |
| Ocean warming alleviates iron limitation of marine nitrogen fixation |
12 |
| Agricultural non-CO2 emission reduction potential in the context of the 1.5 degrees C target |
12 |
| Applying big data beyond small problems in climate research |
12 |
| Towards operational predictions of the near-term climate |
12 |
| Cloud microphysics and circulation anomalies control differences in future Greenland melt |
12 |
| Global assessment of primate vulnerability to extreme climatic events |
12 |
| Divestment prevails over the green paradox when anticipating strong future climate policies |
12 |
| Arctic sea-ice change tied to its mean state through thermodynamic processes |
11 |
| Reduced feeding activity of soil detritivores under warmer and drier conditions |
11 |
| Nudging out support for a carbon tax |
11 |
| Climate damages and adaptation potential across diverse sectors of the United States |
11 |
| Synchronous behavioural shifts in reef fishes linked to mass coral bleaching |
11 |
| Challenges and opportunities for improved understanding of regional climate dynamics |
11 |
| Current understanding and challenges for oceans in a higher-CO2 world |
11 |
| Ecological winners and losers of extreme drought in California |
11 |
| Future equivalent of 2010 Russian heatwave intensified by weakening soil moisture constraints |
11 |
| Limited influence of climate change mitigation on short-term glacier mass loss |
11 |
| Antarctic iceberg impacts on future Southern Hemisphere climate |
11 |
| Acidification diminishes diatom silica production in the Southern Ocean |
10 |
| Enhanced oceanic CO2 uptake along the rapidly changing West Antarctic Peninsula |
10 |
| Seasonally dependent responses of subtropical highs and tropical rainfall to anthropogenic warming |
10 |
| Pacific contribution to the early twentieth-century warming in the Arctic |
10 |
| Toxic algal bloom induced by ocean acidification disrupts the pelagic food web |
10 |
| Forest response to rising CO2 drives zonally asymmetric rainfall change over tropical land |
10 |
| Organic matter from Arctic sea-ice loss alters bacterial community structure and function |
10 |
| Understanding and managing trust at the climate science-policy interface |
10 |
| Recent wind-driven change in Subantarctic Mode Water and its impact on ocean heat storage |
10 |
| Sudden emergence of a shallow aragonite saturation horizon in the Southern Ocean |
10 |
| Asserting the climate benefits of the coal-to-gas shift across temporal and spatial scales |
10 |
| Tropical influence on the North Pacific Oscillation drives winter extremes in North America |
10 |
| Physiology and iron modulate diverse responses of diatoms to a warming Southern Ocean |
9 |
| Climate-carbon cycle uncertainties and the Paris Agreement |
9 |
| Shifting avian spatial regimes in a changing climate |
9 |
| Robust abatement pathways to tolerable climate futures require immediate global action |
9 |
| Implications of sustainable development considerations for comparability across nationally determined contributions |
9 |
| Compensation of ocean acidification effects in Arctic phytoplankton assemblages |
9 |
| Commitment failures are unlikely to undermine public support for the Paris agreement |
9 |
| Potential adaptive strategies for 29 sub-Saharan crops under future climate change |
9 |
| Global loss of climate connectivity in tropical forests |
9 |